Viewing archive of Monday, 29 June 2020

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jun 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jun 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (30 Jun, 01 Jul, 02 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 363 km/s at 29/0121Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 214 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (30 Jun, 01 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (02 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jun to 02 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Jun 069
  Predicted   30 Jun-02 Jul 068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        29 Jun 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jun  004/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Jun  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul  008/008-008/008-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jun to 02 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%05%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm25%25%15%
Major-severe storm20%20%10%

All times in UTC

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