Viewing archive of Monday, 8 January 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Jan 08 1253 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
08 Jan 2018	070	012
09 Jan 2018	069	011
10 Jan 2018	068	008

Bulletin

Solar activity is very low, without C-class or even B-class flares reported for more than a week. We expect such a low activity to persist in the coming days. There were no Earth directed CMEs observed during last 24 hours, and the solar protons are at background level. The in situ observations (from DSCOVR satellite) indicate arrival of the interplanetary shock wave at 05:55 UT this morning. The sudden increase of the solar wind speed (from about 290 to 350 km/s) was observed simultaneously with the increase of the density, temperature and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude (from about 6 nT to 15 nT). The shock in the solar wind is probably related with the expected arrival of the fast solar wind associated with the low latitude extension of the northern polar coronal hole which reached central meridian late evening of January 04. The solar wind speed is slowly increasing and it presently amounts 360 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 20 nT. The Bz component turned negative about two hours ago and it presently amounts about -13 nT. If the negative value of the Bz component persists for a longer time interval we can expect disturbed geomagnetic conditions (up to Kp=4). The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet and we expect unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 013, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Jan 2018

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	070
AK Chambon La Forêt	005
AK Wingst	002
Estimated Ap	002
Estimated international sunspot number	000 - Based on 14 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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