Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 November 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Nov 14 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
14 Nov 2017	073	011
15 Nov 2017	074	015
16 Nov 2017	075	006

Bulletin

Solar activity remains to be low. The background X-ray flux has increased to a low B-level, due to appearance of the active region which rotated from the behind of the East solar limb. This, still not numbered active region, might be the source of B-class and possibly, but not very probably, also low C-class flares in the coming hours. During last 24 hours no Earth directed CMEs have been observed and the solar protons remained at background level. The solar wind speed is presently 380 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 9 nT. The in situ observations (from DSCOVR satellite), showed sudden increase of the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude, density, temperature and the solar wind speed at about 00:48 UT this morning, indicating arrival of a shock wave. The shock is probably associated with the large filament eruption from the north-east quadrant of the Sun, which took place in the morning of November 10. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled and we expect them to stay so in the coming hours with the possibility of the active geomagnetic conditions starting from this evening, due to expected arrival of the fast solar wind associated with with the low latitude extend of the northern polar coronal hole (reached central meridian in the early morning of November 11).

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 014, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Nov 2017

Wolf number Catania	000
10cm solar flux	072
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	006
Estimated Ap	006
Estimated international sunspot number	000 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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