Viewing archive of Thursday, 17 August 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Aug 17 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
17 Aug 2017	077	032
18 Aug 2017	080	021
19 Aug 2017	082	007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2671 continued to grow and has evolved into a beta-gamma- delta magnetic field configuration. Nevertheless, it has not produced any flare above the B-class level in past 24 h. The situation can change as this region will likely generate C-class flares, and has potential for M- (and even X-) class flares. It produced a CME directed to the west first seen at 14:00 UT (LASCO-C2) on August 16, that will most likely miss the Earth.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions have been disturbed due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream from a coronal hole (Kp reached 5 at 06:00 UT and the local K went up to 4 at 09:00 UT). Solar wind speed is increasing and currently around 550 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensity of 11 nT, with periods of negative Bz since early today. More disturbed conditions are expected in the next 48 h with K up to 6.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 040, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 16 Aug 2017

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	077
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	008
Estimated Ap	008
Estimated international sunspot number	030 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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