Viewing archive of Wednesday, 3 May 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 May 03 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 03 May 2017 until 05 May 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
03 May 2017076003
04 May 2017075006
05 May 2017074007

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant flares have been recorded. Active Region (AR) 2654 (Mcintosh class:Dao; Mag. type:Beta) has shown some evidence of flux emergence and cancellation in HMI magnetogram observations, this may increase flaring activity. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in coronagraph observations. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a small probability of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 410 and 435 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 3 nT and 6 nT. The Bz component was largely positive, fluctuating between -2 and +4 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 0-2 (NOAA) and local K index 0-2 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. Over the next 24 hours Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet, with possible fluctuations due to a CME produced on 30-Apr-2017, however the effects are expected to be small as only a glancing blow is expected at best.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 017, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 02 May 2017

Wolf number Catania029
10cm solar flux077
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number028 - Based on 37 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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