Viewing archive of Sunday, 5 April 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Apr 05 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
05 Apr 2015	122	007
06 Apr 2015	121	010
07 Apr 2015	123	009

Bulletin

Four active regions were reported by NOAA today. However, the two strongest flares of the past 24 hours did not occur in any of them. The C1.9 flare peaking at 03:36 UT today took place behind the north-west limb. The C3.8 flare peaking at 00:07 UT today was associated with a filament eruption in the south-east quadrant (to the south of NOAA ARs 2319 and 2320). A partial halo CME was associated with this flare. It first appeared in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 23:36 UT on April 4, had the angular width of at least 230 degrees and projected plane-of-the-sky speed around 760 km/s. SDO/AIA data show that the CME was also accompanied by coronal dimmings and a post-eruption arcade. The bulk of the CME material is directed eastward of the Sun-Earth line, so we expect only a glancing blow from this CME (probably the CME-driven shock) late on April 7 or early on April 8. More C-class flares are expected, especially in the NOAA AR 2320. The Earth is currently inside a solar wind flow with intermediate speed (around 520 km/s) and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of around 6 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled (K < 4) and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 042, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Apr 2015

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	122
AK Chambon La Forêt	021
AK Wingst	014
Estimated Ap	013
Estimated international sunspot number	042 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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