Viewing archive of Monday, 26 August 2013

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2013 Aug 26 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Aug 2013

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

????
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
????
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
????
III. Event Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Aug 111
  Predicted   27 Aug-29 Aug  105/100/100
  90 Day Mean        26 Aug 114
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Aug  007/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Aug  006/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug  006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

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