Viewing archive of Saturday, 27 March 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 27 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 086 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Mar 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1057 (N15E16) produced
several C-class flares during the period. New Region 1059 (S21E73)
was numbered today as an H-type spot group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain
low with C-class flares expected and a slight chance for a M-class
flare over the next 3 days (28-30 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet over the next 3 days (28-30 March).
III. Event Probabilities 28 Mar to 30 Mar
| Class M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Mar 088 Predicted 28 Mar-30 Mar 088/090/090 90 Day Mean 27 Mar 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Mar 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Mar 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Mar-30 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Mar to 30 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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