Viewing archive of Thursday, 28 January 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jan 28 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 028 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Jan 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1041 (S26W32) was mostly quiet and stable producing only a few B-class flares,the largest a B4.0 at 28/0649Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low for the next three days (29-31 January) with only a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1041.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (29-31 January).
III. Event Probabilities 29 Jan to 31 Jan
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 Jan 076
  Predicted   29 Jan-31 Jan  076/076/076
  90 Day Mean        28 Jan 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 Jan  000/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 Jan  001/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 29 Jan-31 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Jan to 31 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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