Viewing archive of Wednesday, 11 November 2009
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Nov 11 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Nov 2009IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z Solar activity was very low for the past 24 hours.
Region 1030 (N24W79) is now an Axx-alpha group with 1 spot. No
flares have been observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next two days (12-13 November). On day three, 14
November, old Region 1029 is expected to rotate back onto the
visible disk with a slight chance of increased activity.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (12-14 November).
III. Event Probabilities 12 Nov to 14 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Nov 072 Predicted 12 Nov-14 Nov 072/072/073 90 Day Mean 11 Nov 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Nov 000/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Nov 001/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Nov to 14 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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