Viewing archive of Friday, 6 November 2009
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Nov 06 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2009IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1030 (N24W07) was
a simple beta group with 6 spots. No flares were observed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to
be quiet on day one (07 November). Quiet to unsettled levels, with a
slight chance for active conditions at high latitudes, are expected
on day two (08 November) in response to a weak recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet
levels on day three (09 November).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Nov to 09 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Nov 071 Predicted 07 Nov-09 Nov 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 06 Nov 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov 000/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov 000/001 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 005/005-007/007-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov to 09 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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