Viewing archive of Sunday, 1 November 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Nov 01 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 305 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Nov 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet for the next three days (02 - 04 November).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Nov to 04 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Nov 072
  Predicted   02 Nov-04 Nov  073/073/070
  90 Day Mean        01 Nov 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 31 Oct  001/001
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Nov  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Nov to 04 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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