Viewing archive of Thursday, 18 June 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Jun 18 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 169 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jun 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z

Solar activity was very low for the past 24 hours. The only region on the disk, Region 1021 (S16W84), has decayed to spotless plage.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low for the next three days (19-21 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17-2100Z to 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet for the next three days (19-21 June).
III. Event Probabilities 19 Jun to 21 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       18 Jun 068
  Predicted   19 Jun-21 Jun  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        18 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jun  001/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 18 Jun  002/002
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jun to 21 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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