Viewing archive of Thursday, 30 April 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Apr 30 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 120 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Apr 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1016 (S07W79) produced isolated A-class flares as it neared the west limb.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels through the period (01 - 03 May).
III. Event Probabilities 01 May to 03 May
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Apr 070
  Predicted   01 May-03 May  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        30 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Apr  003/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Apr  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 01 May-03 May  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 May to 03 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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