Viewing archive of Tuesday, 6 January 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Jan 06 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 006 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jan 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flare activity was observed. The visible solar disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed has been slowly declining and is now near 400 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (07 - 09 January).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Jan to 09 Jan
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Jan 069
  Predicted   07 Jan-09 Jan  069/069/069
  90 Day Mean        06 Jan 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jan  003/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Jan  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jan to 09 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active01%01%01%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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