Viewing archive of Sunday, 16 November 2008
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Nov 16 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 321 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Nov 2008IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W78)
continues to decay, presently a one spot HSX, alpha. No flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1008.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15-2100Z to 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Two active periods were
observed from 0000 to 0600 UTC.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with isolated periods of unsettled
conditions.
III. Event Probabilities 17 Nov to 19 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Nov 068 Predicted 17 Nov-19 Nov 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 16 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Nov 003/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Nov 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Nov to 19 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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