Viewing archive of Sunday, 11 November 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Nov 11 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Nov 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to begin the period at quiet levels. The arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream during the latter part of 13 November should raise levels to unsettled, with an occasional active period. Isolated minor storm periods are possible at high latitudes. The elevated activity is expected to persist through 14 November.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Nov to 14 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 Nov 069
  Predicted   12 Nov-14 Nov  069/069/069
  90 Day Mean        11 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 10 Nov  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 11 Nov  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov  005/005-008/010-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Nov to 14 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%25%35%
Minor storm05%15%15%
Major-severe storm01%05%10%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%35%45%
Minor storm05%15%25%
Major-severe storm01%10%10%

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