Viewing archive of Tuesday, 26 June 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jun 26 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 961 (S11E60) remains an Hsx alpha sunspot group. No significant flare activity occurred during the last 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low, with a slight chance for C-class flares late in the period.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to unsettled. Active periods are possible, particularly at high latitudes, on 29 June.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Jun 071
  Predicted   27 Jun-29 Jun  075/080/080
  90 Day Mean        26 Jun 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun  003/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Jun  004/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun  003/005-005/005-006/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%25%
Minor storm05%05%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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