Viewing archive of Sunday, 25 March 2007
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Mar 25 2203 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 084 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Mar 2007IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed is
slightly elevated due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
the next three days due to the recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Mar to 28 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Mar 074 Predicted 26 Mar-28 Mar 074/075/075 90 Day Mean 25 Mar 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Mar 016/021 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Mar 010/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Mar-28 Mar 010/015-012/020-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Mar to 28 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 40% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 25% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 15% | 05% |
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