Viewing archive of Tuesday, 25 April 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Apr 25 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 115 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Apr 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 875 (S10E46), a beta gamma delta magnetic group, produced a long duration C1 flare at 25/0726 UTC. An associated CME was observed in LASCO imagery off the east limb with a speed of approximately 520 Km/s. This CME is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. An isolated M-class flare is possible from Region 875.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Apr to 28 Apr
Class M15%15%15%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Apr 095
  Predicted   26 Apr-28 Apr  095/095/095
  90 Day Mean        25 Apr 079
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Apr  004/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Apr  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr  005/005-005/005-003/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Apr to 28 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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