Viewing archive of Friday, 10 July 1998

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Jul 10 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 191 Issued at 2200Z on 10 JUL 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

IB. Solar Activity Forecast

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast

III. Event Probabilities 11 JUL to 13 JUL

Class M	01%	01%	01%
Class X	01%	01%	01%
Proton	01%	01%	01%
PCAF	GREEN

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  Observed       10 JUL 109
  Predicted   11 JUL-13 JUL  107/106/105
  90 Day Mean        10 JUL 107

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 JUL  010/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JUL  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JUL-13 JUL  005/008-005/008-005/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 JUL to 13 JUL

A. Middle Latitudes
Active	10%	10%	10%
Minor storm	05%	05%	05%
Major-severe storm	01%	01%	01%

B. High Latitudes
Active	20%	20%	20%
Minor storm	10%	10%	10%
Major-severe storm	05%	05%	05%

NOTICE: GOES-9 IS EXPERIENCING SEVERE ATTITUDE CONTROL PROBLEMS THAT OCCASIONALLY CAUSE THE LOSS OF X-RAY SENSOR DATA. GOES-10 IS BEING BROUGHT OUT OF STORAGE MODE AND WILL BE OPERATIONAL WITHIN THE NEXT WEEK. THERE MAY BE INTERMITTENT OR COMPLETE LOSS OF GOES-9 X-RAY DATA BEFORE GOES-10 BECOMES OPERATIONAL. GOES-8 DATA REMAIN VALID.

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