Viewing archive of Saturday, 2 August 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Aug 02 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 214 Issued at 2200Z on 02 AUG 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A NEW REGION (N06E65) WAS
NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8067.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
ONLY ISOLATED UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 03 AUG to 05 AUG
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 AUG 071 Predicted 03 AUG-05 AUG 071/071/071 90 Day Mean 02 AUG 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 AUG 011/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 AUG 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 AUG-05 AUG 010/008-010/008-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 AUG to 05 AUG
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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