Viewing archive of Thursday, 10 July 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jul 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 191 Issued at 2200Z on 10 JUL 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION
8060 (N05W22) CONTINUES AS A STABLE 7 SPOT 'BXO' BETA GROUP, WHILE
REGION 8059 (S32W74) HAS LOST IT'S SPOTS AS IT PREPARES TO ROTATE
OFF THE WEST LIMB.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST
24 HOURS, WITH AN ISOLATED PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS RECORDED AT
HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL 10/0600-0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
III. Event Probabilities 11 JUL to 13 JUL
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 JUL 069 Predicted 11 JUL-13 JUL 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 10 JUL 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 JUL 014/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JUL 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JUL-13 JUL 005/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 JUL to 13 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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