Viewing archive of Saturday, 21 June 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 21 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 21 JUN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 8053 (S27W07), A SINGLE SPOT 'AXX' GROUP, IS CURRENTLY THE ONLY ACTIVE REGIOIN ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY INCREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 22 JUN to 24 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       21 JUN 068
  Predicted   22 JUN-24 JUN  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        21 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 JUN  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 JUN  003/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 JUN-24 JUN  005/005-008/008-005/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 JUN to 24 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%20%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%20%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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