Viewing archive of Monday, 9 June 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 09 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY :::::::::: SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 09 JUN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A COUPLE OF MINOR
UNCORRELATED B-CLASS XRAY BURSTS WERE OBSERVED. REGION 8048 (S28W80)
CONTINUED TO DECAY. REGION 8050 (N27E43) REMAINED RELATIVELY STABLE.
REGION 8051 (N21W22) DECAYED INTO A SPOTLESS PLAGE REGION.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM AT MID LATITUDES AND
UNSETTLED TO MAJOR STORM AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ENERGETIC ELECTRONS REACHED HIGH LEVELS AT 09/1816Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 10 JUN to 12 JUN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 JUN 073 Predicted 10 JUN-12 JUN 074/074/072 90 Day Mean 09 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUN 012/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUN 024/030 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUN-12 JUN 015/015-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 JUN to 12 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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