Viewing archive of Monday, 2 June 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 153 Issued at 2200Z on 02 JUN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8048 (S28E15) GREW IN WHITE LIGHT AND H-ALPHA, BUT WAS QUIET. REGION 8047 (N26W04) DECLINED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT VERY LOW LEVELS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET, FOLLOWING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS EARLY IN THE PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GENERALLY ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED 04 JUNE, IN RESPONSE TO A DSF/CME ON 31 MAY. QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS SHOULD END THE INTERVAL.
III. Event Probabilities 03 JUN to 05 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 JUN 077
  Predicted   03 JUN-05 JUN  077/078/078
  90 Day Mean        02 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JUN  010/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JUN  003/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JUN-05 JUN  005/010-020/020-010/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 JUN to 05 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%40%20%
Minor storm01%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%50%25%
Minor storm01%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%

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