Viewing archive of Thursday, 6 March 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 MAR 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGION 8020 (N06E74)
ROTATED INTO VIEW AND IS A SIMPLE, H-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP. OCCASIONAL
B-CLASS FLARES WERE REPORTED FROM THIS REGION: THE LARGEST WAS A
B8/SF AT 0049Z. FREQUENT OCCURRENCE OF TYPE III RADIO SWEEPS WAS
ALSO NOTED DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
CONDITIONS WERE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED FROM 0300-1500Z: MID-LATITUDES
WERE MOSTLY UNSETTLED, AND HIGH LATITUDES WERE UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY
ACTIVE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUXES WERE BELOW HIGH
LEVELS (1000 PFU) FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 07 MAR to 09 MAR
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 MAR 075 Predicted 07 MAR-09 MAR 078/079/080 90 Day Mean 06 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAR 011/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAR-09 MAR 005/008-008/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 MAR to 09 MAR
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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