Viewing archive of Monday, 30 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 30 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 365 Issued at 2200Z on 30 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS
QUIET AND SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET WITH ONE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED
ACTIVITY AROUND 29/0300Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 31 DEC to 02 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 DEC 073 Predicted 31 DEC-02 JAN 072/072/072 90 Day Mean 30 DEC 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 DEC 004/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 DEC 009/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 DEC-02 JAN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 DEC to 02 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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