Viewing archive of Monday, 7 October 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Oct 07 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 281 Issued at 2200Z on 07 OCT 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS THE ENTIRE VISIBLE
DISK AMD LIMB REMAIN FEATURELESS AND QUIET.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL
LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH
ACTIVITY INCREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND
THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 08 OCT to 10 OCT
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 OCT 068 Predicted 08 OCT-10 OCT 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 07 OCT 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 OCT 004/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 OCT 005/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 OCT-10 OCT 010/008-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 OCT to 10 OCT
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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