Viewing archive of Sunday, 1 September 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Sep 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 245 Issued at 2200Z on 01 SEP 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 7986
(S12W42) EXHIBITED SLOW DECAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE
MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES SHOULD DROP TO BACKGROUND LEVELS ON
02-03 SEP.
III. Event Probabilities 02 SEP to 04 SEP
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 SEP 074 Predicted 02 SEP-04 SEP 073/072/071 90 Day Mean 01 SEP 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 AUG 013/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 SEP 006/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 SEP-04 SEP 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 SEP to 04 SEP
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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