Viewing archive of Tuesday, 30 July 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 30 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 212 Issued at 2200Z on 30 JUL 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 7981
(S10E34) PRODUCED SEVERAL B-CLASS SUBFLARES. OVERALL, THIS
REGION WAS STABLE AND RETAINED ITS BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC
CONFIGURATION.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
AT A VERY LOW LEVEL. REGION 7981 RETAINS THE CAPABILITY OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOLAR WIND
DATA SHOWED AN UNREMARKABLE STREAM IN THE EARTH'S VICINITY.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 31 JUL to 02 AUG
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 JUL 080 Predicted 31 JUL-02 AUG 081/081/081 90 Day Mean 30 JUL 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 JUL 007/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JUL 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 JUL-02 AUG 008/010-008/010-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 JUL to 02 AUG
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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