Viewing archive of Thursday, 25 July 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 207 Issued at 2200Z on 25 JUL 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK IS AGAIN SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE MIDWAY THROUGH THE PERIOD WHEN OLD REGION 7978 (S11) RETURNS. IT PRODUCED AN X-CLASS EVENT ON JULY 9.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 26 JUL to 28 JUL
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 JUL  068
  Predicted   26 JUL-28 JUL  068/070/072
  90 Day Mean        25 JUL  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 24 JUL  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 JUL  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 JUL-28 JUL  005/005-005/006-005/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 JUL to 28 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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