Viewing archive of Saturday, 13 July 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 13 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 13 JUL 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7978 (S10W89),
THE ONLY NUMBERED REGION, APPEARS TO BE TRANSITING THE WEST
LIMB WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING MOSTLY QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 14 JUL to 16 JUL
| Class M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 JUL 070 Predicted 14 JUL-16 JUL 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 13 JUL 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 JUL 011/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUL 010/009 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUL-16 JUL 010/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 JUL to 16 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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