Viewing archive of Monday, 1 July 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 01 JUL 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. TWO B-CLASS X-RAY
BURSTS WERE NOTED. THE FIRST WAS A B4 WITH AN ASSOCIATED TYPE
II SWEEP. THE LAST WAS A B1. REGION 7973 (N09W88) IS SLOWLY
DECAYING AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB. REGION 7976 (N12W42)
IS NOW SPOTLESS. A NEW PLAGE REGION, MODERATELY STRONG IN X-RAY
IMAGES, IS NOW ROUNDING THE EAST LIMB NEAR S02. IT IS SPOTLESS
SO FAR.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 02 JUL to 04 JUL
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 JUL 070 Predicted 02 JUL-04 JUL 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 01 JUL 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 JUN 007/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUL 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUL-04 JUL 010/005-005/005-010/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 JUL to 04 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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