Viewing archive of Monday, 10 June 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jun 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 10 JUN 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
REGION 7968 (N02W56), THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE
DISK, HAS BEGUN TO DECAY. THE REGION IS CURRENTLY A SEVEN
SPOT 'CAO' GROUP COVERING AN AREA OF APPROXIMATELY 60
MILLIONTHS. REGION 7971 (S07W28), WHICH WAS NUMBERED
YESTERDAY, HAS LOST ITS THREE SPOTS AND DECAYED INTO WIDELY
SCATTERED PLAGE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW, WITH THE PROBABILITY OF EITHER A C-CLASS OR M-CLASS
EVENT FROM REGION 7968 DOWN TO 30% AND 5% RESPECTIVELY.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS,
WITH AN INCRESING CHANCE OF ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE
CONDITIONS ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 11 JUN to 13 JUN
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 JUN 069 Predicted 11 JUN-13 JUN 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 10 JUN 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 JUN 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JUN 008/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JUN-13 JUN 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 JUN to 13 JUN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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