Viewing archive of tisdag, 11 mars 2003
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2003 Mar 11 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 070 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 11 Mar 2003IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 10-2100Z till 11-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels today. The
largest event of the period was a C1.2/Sf flare that occurred at
11/1230Z which originated from region 306 (N05E21). This region has
changed little over the past 24 hours. Region 296 (N12W71) has
shown decay during the period and has lost the gamma portion of its
magnetic classification today. Region 304 (S11W69) has shown a
slight increase in penumbral coverage during the period. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 10-2100Z till 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
Isolated active periods were observed at both middle and high
latitudes during the interval. The greater than 2 MeV electron
fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels for day
one of the forecast period. By day two, active conditions with
isolated minor storm periods may exist due to a co-rotating
interaction region preceding a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 12 Mar till 14 Mar
| M-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 11 Mar 142 Prognoserat 12 Mar-14 Mar 140/135/130 90 Day Mean 11 Mar 142
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 10 Mar 010/016 Förväntat Afr/Ap 11 Mar 008/013 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar 008/012-012/015-012/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 12 Mar till 14 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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