Viewing archive of måndag, 10 mars 2003
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2003 Mar 10 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 069 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 10 Mar 2003IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 09-2100Z till 10-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. The largest
flare of the period was a C2.0/Sf event that occurred at 10/1754Z
from Region 310 (S16W62). This region has been in decay throughout
the period. Region 306 (N05E34) was responsible for lesser B-class
flares and has also shown some decay. Most of the spotted regions
were quiescent during the period. New Region 312 (N09W25) was newly
assigned today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 09-2100Z till 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
An isolated active period occurred at mid and high latitudes
between 10/1200 and 1500Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through the first 48
hours of the period. Day three should experience active conditions
due to a co-rotating interactive region that has preceded a
recurrent coronal hole over the past several rotations.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 11 Mar till 13 Mar
| M-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 10 Mar 144 Prognoserat 11 Mar-13 Mar 140/140/135 90 Day Mean 10 Mar 142
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 09 Mar 008/011 Förväntat Afr/Ap 10 Mar 010/015 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar 006/010-006/012-012/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 11 Mar till 13 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 25% | 35% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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