Viewing archive of söndag, 9 mars 2003
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2003 Mar 09 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 068 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 09 Mar 2003IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 08-2100Z till 09-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels today. The
largest flare of the period was a C4.4/Sf event that occurred at
09/0647Z from Region 304 (S11W43). This region also produced a
C2.6/Sf flare at 09/007Z and has shown some growth in magnetic
complexity since yesterday. Region 306 (N05E47) has shown slight
growth in penumbral coverage and was responsible for several B-class
flares today. Region 296 (N12W45) was relatively quiet throughout
the period and has underwent little change in the past 24 hours.
This region retains a weak gamma magnetic structure. New Regions
309 (N05W77), 310 (S16W49), and 311 (S17E45) were newly assigned
today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Region 296 (N12W45) has a slight chance of producing an
isolated M-class event.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 08-2100Z till 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.
Isolated active conditions were observed at middle and high
latitudes early in the period due southward oscillations in the Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field. The greater than 2
MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels
today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. There is a chance for
isolated active conditions at higher latitudes through the interval.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 10 Mar till 12 Mar
| M-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 09 Mar 153 Prognoserat 10 Mar-12 Mar 150/145/145 90 Day Mean 09 Mar 142
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 08 Mar 011/009 Förväntat Afr/Ap 09 Mar 011/010 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar 007/010-007/010-005/012
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 10 Mar till 12 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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