Viewing archive of fredag, 8 mars 2002
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2002 Mar 08 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 067 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 08 Mar 2002IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare of
the period was an optically uncorrelated C8 x-ray flare that
occurred at 08/1456 UTC. There were many minor C-class flares
during the period with two of them being attributed to Region 9859
(S10W05). This region is unimpressive but did show steady minor
growth of umbral coverage today. Very little recorded radio
activity today. New Regions 9865 (N14E72), and 9866 (S10E80) were
numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. There is a slight chance of an isolated minor M-class
flare occurring from Region 9859.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained elevated throughout the
period.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field activity
is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels with isolated
unsettled conditions through the forecast period.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 09 Mar till 11 Mar
| M-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 08 Mar 177 Prognoserat 09 Mar-11 Mar 175/175/175 90 Day Mean 08 Mar 218
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 07 Mar 005/010 Förväntat Afr/Ap 08 Mar 006/006 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 006/006-006/006-005/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 09 Mar till 11 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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