Viewing archive of fredag, 3 augusti 2001
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2001 Aug 03 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 215 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 03 Aug 2001IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z Solar activity reached moderate levels this period.
Region 9563 (N24E15) produced an M1/Sn at 03/0307Z. Rapid growth was
noted in this region's size and complexity over the past 36 hours.
Minor C-class flares were also observed in Regions 9557 (S21W26),
9561 (S13E10), and newly numbered Region 9567 (S15W02). New Region
9568 (S19W50) was also numbered today.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low to moderate levels. Region 9563 possesses good potential for
another small M-class flare. Isolated C-class flare activity is
possible from several regions on the visible disk.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 02-2100Z till 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Quiet conditions prevailed
before a shock impacted ACE at 03/0626Z. This shock was likely
associated with the filament eruption and CME on 31 July. The impact
was relatively weak with no significant southward Bz, consequently,
only isolated active periods were observed.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated
active periods likely.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 04 Aug till 06 Aug
| M-klass | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 03 Aug 132 Prognoserat 04 Aug-06 Aug 135/135/135 90 Day Mean 03 Aug 149
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 02 Aug 007/008 Förväntat Afr/Ap 03 Aug 012/013 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug 012/012-010/015-010/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 04 Aug till 06 Aug
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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