Vaata pühapäev, 16 juuni 2002 arhiivi

Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2002 Jun 16 2200 UTC
Valminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga

Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne

SDF number 167 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 16 Jun 2002

IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The most notable event of the period was a long duration C1.0 flare at 16/0814 UTC. There were no optical reports associated with this event, but a CME was evident in LASCO imagery just following the flare, from a presumed source behind the northeast limb, near N35. Active prominences have been visible in H-alpha imagery in this area for the past 24 hours. Other activity included an optically uncorrelated C1.4 flare at 16/0332 UTC. B-class activity was observed in Region 9991 (S21W47) and Region 3 (N00E49). New Region 5 (N13E74) rotated into view and was numbered today.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to remain mostly low for the next three days.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is expected to persist at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three days.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 17 Junkuni 19 Jun
Klass M20%25%25%
Klass X01%01%01%
Prooton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
  Vaadeldud       16 Jun 137
  Prognoositud   17 Jun-19 Jun  140/145/145
  90 päeva keskmine        16 Jun 178
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
  Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 15 Jun  004/007
  Hinnanguline     Afr/Ap 16 Jun  008/010
  Prognoositud    Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 17 Jun kuni 19 Jun
A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne10%10%10%
Väike torm01%01%01%
Suur-tõsine torm01%01%01%
B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne15%15%15%
Väike torm05%05%05%
Suur-tõsine torm01%01%01%
PLAIN This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you may have noticed, we are steadily approaching region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather operations is to go through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text discussions of the active regions will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using four digits is for operational purposes only. For historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a series of regions numbers 10000 and higher.

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