Vaata neljapäev, 23 august 2001 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2001 Aug 23 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 235 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 23 Aug 2001IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 22-2100Z kuni 23-2100Z Solar activity decreased to low levels. Region 9591
(S17E53) produced frequent, impulsive mid-level C-class flares with
minor radio emission. This region showed a magnetic delta structure
in its trailing sunspots and a weak delta in its interior spots.
Currently, Region 9591 spans about 30 degrees in longitude. However,
it appeared likely this region was comprised of two abutted sunspot
groups, which may be split into separate groups once this complex
rotates further into view. Minor polarity mixing was evident in
Regions 9582 (N28W33) and 9585 (N14W16), but both regions were
inactive as they showed signs of decay. The remaining active regions
were unremarkable. New Region 9593 (N00E01) was numbered.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a good chance for an isolated M-class flare from
Region 9591. There is also a slight chance for a major flare from
this region.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 22-2100Z kuni 23-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity decreased to quiet to unsettled levels as
coronal hole effects subsided.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during the first half of
the period increasing to unsettled to active levels during the rest
of the period. There will be a slight chance for a proton event
during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit may reach high levels during the first half of
the forecast period.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 24 Augkuni 26 Aug
| Klass M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Klass X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Prooton | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 23 Aug 170 Prognoositud 24 Aug-26 Aug 175/180/180 90 päeva keskmine 23 Aug 152
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 22 Aug 014/017 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 23 Aug 009/010 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 010/010-012/012-015/012
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 24 Aug kuni 26 Aug
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 10% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
AR3654 44Latest SC25 Predictions 102Growth of Cycle 25 436ionosphere D detection 6Another bug with solar activity data ? 3
Veel teemasid
Toeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 01/05/2024 | M1.9 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 26/04/2024 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 144.2 +43.4 |