Vaata reede, 12 mai 2000 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2000 May 12 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 133 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 12 MAY 2000IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 11-2100Z kuni 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THERE WERE A NUMBER OF C-CLASS
X-RAY FLARES, ALL OF THEM OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED. A 32 DEGREE
FILAMENT ERUPTED FROM ROUGHLY S50E50 BETWEEN 11/22 AND 11/23UT. THE
ERUPTION WAS VISIBLE IN EIT IMAGERY AND LASCO REVEALED A DRAMATIC
CME OFF THE SOUTH POLE. AT THIS TIME THE CME DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE
EARTH DIRECTED.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. THERE ARE CURRENTLY A NUMBER OF REGIONS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING M FLARES.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 11-2100Z kuni 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. ACE DATA
INDICATED THE PASSAGE OF TWO SOLAR TRANSIENTS, ASSUMED TO BE RELATED
TO THE MULTIPLE FILAMENT ERUPTIONS OF 8 MAY. WHILE THE TRANSIENTS
PRODUCED SUSTAINED PERIODS OF NEGATIVE BZ, THE WIND SPEED REMAINED
VERY LOW INHIBITING A STRONG GEOMAGNETIC RESPONSE.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO MINOR STORM FOR THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE
PERIOD. ON THE FIRST DAY, WE EXPECT TO SEE INCREASES IN THE SOLAR
WIND SPEED DUE TO A SMALL CORONAL HOLE THAT IS NOW FAVORABLY
POSITIONED. A SHOCK ASSOCIATED WITH THE 10 MAY LONG DURATION FLARE
AND FILAMENT ERUPTION IS ALSO EXPECTED LATE 13 OR EARLY 14 MAY.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 13 MAYkuni 15 MAY
| Klass M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Klass X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Prooton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 12 MAY 190 Prognoositud 13 MAY-15 MAY 195/200/200 90 päeva keskmine 12 MAY 187
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 MAY 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 MAY 015/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 MAY-15 MAY 020/020-015/015-008/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 13 MAY kuni 15 MAY
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Väike torm | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 25% | 20% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
laupäev, 4 mai 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Viimane foorumi postitus
Does anyone know what happened to solarham.net? 7AR3663 83Latest SC25 Predictions 107Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 4Changelog/Featurelog 155
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 03/05/2024 | X1.6 |
| Viimane M-loide | 04/05/2024 | M1.5 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 02/05/2024 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| aprill 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 151.9 +56.5 |