Vaata laupäev, 27 november 1999 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1999 Nov 27 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 331 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 27 NOV 1999IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 26-2100Z kuni 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT HIGH LEVELS. REGION 8771
(S14W78) PRODUCED AN X1/2B TENFLARE AT 27/1212Z. THIS REGION ALSO
PRODUCED TWO OTHER SIGNIFICANT EVENTS - AN M2/1N AT 27/0301Z AND AN
M1/1N AT 27/0549Z. THOUGH SOME DECAY WAS OBSERVED IN THE LAST 24
HOURS, THIS REGION RETAINS CONSIDERABLE SIZE AND MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY
AS IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB. REGION 8778 (S14W19) CONTINUES IN A
SLOW GROWTH PHASE AND PRODUCED A C5/1N FLARE AT 27/0452Z. A LARGE,
17 DEGREE FILAMENT ERUPTED FROM S50 NEAR CENTER DISK BETWEEN 26/1700
- 1930Z. NEW REGION 8782 (N11E01) WAS NUMBERED TODAY. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY WAS OBSERVED.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AT
MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS. REGION 8771 (S14W78) SHOULD CONTINUE
PRODUCING M-CLASS ACTIVITY AS IT ROTATES AROUND THE WEST LIMB. AN
ISOLATED MAJOR FLARE IS POSSIBLE. REGION 8778 (S14W19) WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE C-CLASS ACTIVITY AND HAS POTENTIAL FOR AN
ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 26-2100Z kuni 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT QUIET LEVELS THROUGH DAY ONE, WITH UNSETTLED
TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS LIKELY ON DAY TWO AND THREE. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR A MINOR DISTURBANCE ON DAYS TWO AND THREE IN RESPONSE TO
YESTERDAY'S PARTIAL HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION OFF THE WEST LIMB. WE
MAY ALSO HAVE TO CONTEND WITH THE EFFECTS OF A HIGH SPEED CORONAL
HOLE STREAM BY DAY THREE.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 28 NOVkuni 30 NOV
| Klass M | 55% | 40% | 40% |
| Klass X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Prooton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | YELLOW | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 27 NOV 169 Prognoositud 28 NOV-30 NOV 160/150/145 90 päeva keskmine 27 NOV 165
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 NOV 002/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 NOV 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 NOV-30 NOV 007/010-015/015-015/015
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 28 NOV kuni 30 NOV
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Väike torm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
2024/05/03 X1.69 CME 2Unproven theories 380AR3663 24Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1006Filaments and prominences 69
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 03/05/2024 | X1.6 |
| Viimane M-loide | 03/05/2024 | M2.7 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 02/05/2024 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| aprill 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 149.4 +51.8 |