Viendo archivo del sábado, 31 marzo 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Mar 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 091 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was low. A single C1/Sf flare was
observed from Region 1451 (N17E53) at 30/2112Z. New Region 1451 was
a simple Cro type group with a beta magnetic configuration. New
Region 1450 (N15E38) was also numbered and also a Cro type group
with beta magnetic characteristics. The remaining regions were
quiet and magnetically simple.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. An isolated C-class flare is likely with a
slight chance for an M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Solar wind speed measured at the ACE spacecraft ranged from around 450 km/s at the beginning of the period to 350 km/s at the end of the period. Bz was generally neutral. ACE data suggested a solar sector boundary crossing from negative to positive sector around 31/14Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagentic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (01-03
April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Mar 110 Previsto 01 Apr-03 Apr 115/115/120 Media de 90 Días 31 Mar 118
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar 006/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Mar 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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