Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 marzo 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Mar 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 089 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Mar 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels. There were six
C-class flares over the past 24 hours with five of these originating
from old Region 1429 (N19, L=299) which is just beginning to rotate
into view as of forecast issue time. The largest flare was a C7
that occurred at 29/0953Z and originated from old Region 1429. New
Region 1449 (S18W17) was numbered today and is a D-class spot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an isolated M-class flare. Old Region 1429 will
rotate onto the visible disk, increasing the probabilities for
M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 March - 1 April)
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Mar a 01 Apr
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Mar 112 Previsto 30 Mar-01 Apr 120/130/135 Media de 90 Días 29 Mar 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Mar 010/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Mar 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Mar a 01 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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