Viendo archivo del martes, 7 febrero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Feb 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 038 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Feb 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1410 (N19W79) produced
several C-class x-ray events over the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for moderate levels on day 1 (8 February). Activity
should decrease to very low levels on days 2-3 (9-10 February) after
Region 1410 rotates off the west limb of the solar disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled at mid latitudes with an
isolated minor storm observed between 07/09-15Z at a high latitude
station in College, Alaska.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day 1 (8 February)
as the results of elevated solar wind speeds and intermittent
periods of negative Bz. Unsettled to active levels are again
expected due to the arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream on
days 2-3 (9-10 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| Clase M | 30% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Feb 107 Previsto 08 Feb-10 Feb 105/100/100 Media de 90 Días 07 Feb 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Feb 007/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb 008/005-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Feb a 10 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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