Viendo archivo del martes, 17 mayo 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 137 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 May 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
Regions 1208 (N09W78) and 1214 (S24W24) produced several B-class
events. All other regions on the disk remained relatively quiet and
stable. A filament erupted near N13W07 and an associated CME became
visible on STEREO COR2 imagery at 17/0709Z. The CME was well above
the ecliptic plane and is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class activity for the next three days
(18-20 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
Solar wind velocities gradually decreased from approximately 620
km/s to 540 km/s indicating the effects from the coronal hole
high-speed stream (CH HSS) that has been influencing the field for
the past few days are beginning to subside.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (18-20 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 May a 20 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 May 092 Previsto 18 May-20 May 092/095/095 Media de 90 Días 17 May 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 May 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 May 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 May-20 May 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 May a 20 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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