Viendo archivo del miércoles, 16 marzo 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Mar 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 075 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Mar 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. During the period,
Region 1169 (N17W75) produced a few low-level C-class events
including a long-duration (LDE) C3/Sf flare at 16/2034Z. The flare
was still in progress at the time of this writing. Associated with
this LDE was a partial-halo CME, first observed in LASCO C2 imagery
at 16/1912Z. A preliminary plane-of-sky estimate indicated a
velocity near 500 km/s. The region maintained its beta-gamma
magnetic classification as it approached the west limb. New Region
1173 (S28E39) emerged on the disk as a bi-polar C-type group. The
Penticton 10.7 cm flux and the 90-day mean are estimated for today
(16 March) due to flare enhanced readings.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an M-class event from Region 1169 for the next two
days (17 - 18 March). On day three (19 March), activity is expected
to be very low with a chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Observations from the ACE satellite
indicated solar wind velocities averaged about 370 km/s while the Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field was mostly north at
+1 to +5 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (17 - 19 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Mar a 19 Mar
| Clase M | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Mar 095 Previsto 17 Mar-19 Mar 090/085/080 Media de 90 Días 16 Mar 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Mar 000/000 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Mar 001/002 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Mar-19 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Mar a 19 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 6 mayo 2024
X4.5 solar flare
sábado, 4 mayo 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
Últimos mensajes del foro
[CME] AR 13664, X1.04, 2024-05-08 26AR3664 215Incoming Active Regions 241Unproven theories 385AR3663 248
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/08 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/08 | M8.5 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 161.2 +69.2 |