Viendo archivo del lunes, 15 noviembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Nov 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 319 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Nov 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1124 (N14W30) produced a
C2/Sf event at 15/0728Z. This region has grown in area and number
of spots throughout the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is forecast to be low
with C-class flares likely for the next 3 days (16-18 November).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with isolated periods of
unsettled conditions at mid and high latitudes. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during
the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active with a slight chance for
an isolated period of minor storming over the next 3 days (16-18
November). This activity is forecast because of elevated solar wind
speeds near 650 km/s and intermittent periods of southward Bz, as
well as a possible glancing blow from the CME on 13 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Nov a 18 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Nov 091 Previsto 16 Nov-18 Nov 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 15 Nov 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Nov 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Nov 006/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov 012/012-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Nov a 18 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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